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Answer: None of the above.
It will be Nigeria.
Rather ironic, that, since the U.S. doesn’t want to
overthrow the Nigerian government, like it does those other three.
Of those four nations, the Nigerian regime is the least
stable and most threatened internally by far. It is also the most corrupt, inept,
and feckless.
75% of Nigerian government revenue is from oil. The
free-fall in oil prices, partially engineered by Saudi Arabia as a favor to
their U.S. partners in crimes, is wreaking havoc on the
Nigerian “government’s” budget. And this at a time when Boko Haram goes from
triumph to triumph and the Nigerian army is ineffectual and reliant on civilian
vigilantes to check the Islamofascist terrorists. Not a great time for
belt-tightening.
Will the U.S. end up facing yet another front in its “War On
Terror,” in addition to Afghanistan, Iraq, Yemen, Somalia, Pakistan, and Kenya?
(It left Mali to the French, mostly.) The danger is far from trivial. But hey,
it’ll be another country Obama can add to his drone target list! (Too bad it’ll
be virtually impossible to locate valid targets. Notice the U.S. and other
foreign intel and military personnel have been unable to find those hundreds of
schoolgirls Boko Haram kidnapped months ago for their harem and slave trade.)
Of course, the Nigerian government may survive. But it is
the most vulnerable of the nations hard-hit by the steep fall in the price of
oil. (Crude oil has fallen about 50% in the past six months.)
If Nigeria, the most populous nation in Africa (its
population is larger than Russia’s), does disintegrate, I guess the U.S. will
brush it off as “collateral damage” in its economic warfare. Just another
innocent bystander victim trampled underfoot by the Righteous Imperialist
Superpower, America, as it pursues its “interests.”
Being the World’s Only Superpower means never having to say
you’re sorry.
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